Macro Target Tracker
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US · UK · Eurozone — public-domain macroeconomic data (FRED · ONS · Eurostat · BoE)
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How to read macro data across countries
This page brings together the key economic numbers — growth, inflation, unemployment and interest rates — for the world's largest economies, so you can see at a glance where each one stands.
Growth versus inflation. Strong growth with falling inflation is the best mix for stocks. High inflation with slowing growth is the hardest backdrop, because central banks can't cut rates easily to help.
Divergence drives currencies. When one economy is clearly stronger than another, its central bank is likely to keep rates higher for longer, which tends to support its currency.
Surprises matter more than levels. Economists publish forecasts before each release. A run of better-than-expected numbers usually lifts a country's currency and bond yields, even if the economy is still weak overall.
Look at the trend. One month can be noisy. Three to six months of data in the same direction is a far more reliable signal.
Frequently asked questions
What does 'beat' or 'miss' mean?
A release beats when it comes in above the consensus forecast and misses when it comes in below. Markets react to that gap more than to the number itself.
Which data matters most?
Inflation and jobs data usually move markets the most because they feed directly into central bank decisions.
Why compare the US, UK and Eurozone?
Currency pairs reflect the difference between two economies. If US data is strong while European data is weak, EUR/USD often falls.
How often does the data change?
Most figures are monthly or quarterly. GDP is quarterly and often revised, so the first estimate can change later.
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